Even Time Magazine Notices

by Transmontanus, 12 April 2008

. . .the connection between capitalism’s tendency to crisis and the current wave of food riots around the world:

“The social theories of Karl Marx were long ago discarded as of little value, even to revolutionaries. But he did warn that capitalism had a tendency to generate its own crises. Indeed, the spread of capitalism, and its accelerated industrialization and wealth-creation, may have fomented the food-inflation crisis — by dramatically accelerating competition for scarce resources. The rapid industrialization of China and India over the past two decades — and the resultant growth of a new middle class fast approaching the size of America’s — has driven demand for oil toward the limits of global supply capacity. That has pushed oil prices to levels five times what they were in the mid 1990s, which has also raised pressure on food prices by driving up agricultural costs and by prompting the substitution of biofuel crops for edible ones on scarce farmland. . . the food crisis, and its attendant political risks, are not likely to be resolved or contained by the laissez-faire operation of capitalism’s market forces.”

Proximate causes: “A swelling global population, soaring energy prices, the clamouring for meat from the rising Asian middle class, competition from biofuels and hot money pouring into the commodity markets are all factors that make this crisis unique and potentially calamitous.”

Meanwhile, just a few hours ago: About 20,000 workers rioted over high food prices and low wages on Saturday close to the Bangladesh capital Dhaka, police said, amid spreading global unrest over soaring grocery costs.

We will be talking about the events of this week a decade from now.

Comments

  1. graeme

    Terry, I don’t really know anything about this subject. Any suggestions for good background reading?

  2. SnoopyTheGoon

    “We will be talking about the events of this week a decade from now.”

    Incorrigible optimist that you are ;-)

  3. Terry Glavin

    Raj Patel’s Stuffed and Starved is a fairly reasonable primer on the global food system, if you can wade through the fashionable analysis. I’m just getting a hold of some Jeffrey Sachs on the subject, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Lester Brown (Worldwatch Institute) is useful; he was warning about this happening, months ago.

  4. Terry Collmann

    A large part of the problem is the short-termism of the US in going for biofuels based on food crops, instead of investing in “second generation” biofuel technology that uses waste sources - everything from grass cuttings to pigshit - to generate ethanol fuel. And the UK govt is not much better.

    But the bigger impact on the world is indeed the rise of the Chinese (and Indian, and Brazilian, and Russian) middle classes, which is having totally unforeseen impacts - British farmers are now finding the prices they are getting for their milk is going up, as Chinese consumers start tio have the money to spend on it, for example … I dunno about the events of this week (who has a crystal ball?) but we’ll certainly be talking about the power of the Chinese middle class in 10 years’ time